Arsenal top six rival analysis: Man United, Tottenham, West Ham, Leicester & more
4. Brighton
Will the time come when the rest of the division sits and truly takes note of Brighton?
The way their season is panning out is in stark contrast to how it unfolded last season. Finishing 16th in 2020/21, as per the xPTS table (based on xG accrued and xG conceded) they should have sat a full 12 places higher, in fifth.
Doing everything right, their lack of a goalscorer to finish off the chances they created saw them suffer dramatically.
Twist that around to this season and they are outperforming their xG, currently sitting eighth in the table whereas their xPTS tally would see them in 13th.
Key to their success has been some clever investing, but primarily keeping hold of Yves Bissouma. Graham Potter’s brand of football is exciting to watch, but now has the added benefit of being effective.
Coming from two goals down to draw away at Liverpool, for example, is the signs of a team fully invested in the methods and confident in their ability. However, xG always catches up with teams and failure to sign a reliable centre-forward (their window wasn’t perfect) could prove to be their downfall once again.
Continued…