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There is just one Premier League match remaining for first-placed Arsenal, and there are two remaining for second-placed Man City. The Gunners have spent the majority of the season at the top of the Premier League table, but their title isn't secured yet.
With just one game against Crystal Palace remaining, Arsenal maintain a five-point gap at the top of the table, having played one game more than Man City. They are also behind on goal difference by a -1 goal difference.
This tracker provides an updated big-picture look at Arsenal's required points tally to lift the Premier League title this summer, a side-by-side comparison of Arsenal's and Man City's run-ins and a predicted final table.
Arsenal’s route to winning the Premier League
Arsenal is already en route to winning the Premier League this season. The fact of the matter is, it's in their hands. If Arsenal win their remaining Premier League game, there is no tangible way Man City could match their points tally. Arsenal simply need three points to guarantee winning the league.
Failing that, Arsenal still stand an okay chance of winning the Premier League, even if they drop two points. This would mean they draw their final game. In this instance, though, goal difference could become a factor. If Man City wins all their remaining games, and Arsenal draw against Crystal Palace, they will be level on points, and goal difference will become the next decider.
Date | Fixture | Difficulty (out of 5) |
|---|---|---|
24 May | Crystal Palace (A) | ⭐⭐ |
- Arsenal win three points - They will win the Premier League.
- Arsenal win one point - They should hope Man City draws or loses one of two games, because if Man City wins six points in this scenario, the winners will be determined by goal difference.
- Arsenal win zero points - They should hope Man City matches the tally, because if Man City wins six in this scenario, Man City will win the Premier League.
Current Premier League standings and points gap
There are only two teams still capable of winning the Premier League trophy - Arsenal and Man City. This means that, no matter what happens, the current champions, Liverpool, will give up their trophy.
Arsenal have the upper hand as it stands, but goal difference could still come into play depending on how the results go. In the goal-difference department, it is even, with Man City playing one game less than Arsenal.
Team | Played | Points | Goal difference | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1. Arsenal | 37 | 82 | 43 | 69:26 |
2. Man City | 36 | 77 | 43 | 75:32 |
Arsenal’s remaining fixtures analysed
Arsenal have one away game remaining, but it will at least be played in London. That, thankfully, saves some travelling time before their trip to Budapest, Hungary, for the Champions League final.
Man City's remaining schedule
Man City have a much tougher run-in than Arsenal.
On paper, Man City's toughest game of the remaining ones is the final day of the season against Aston Villa. Unai Emery's men have been tough to beat, which Arsenal fans know all too well.
However, Man City also face Bournemouth away in the middle of the FA Cup final and the last day of the season. The Cherries have been impressive this season and stand a chance of competing in Europe. This is Arsenal's best hope of Man City dropping points.
Date | Fixture | Difficulty (out of 5) |
|---|---|---|
19 May | Bournemouth (A) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
24 May | Aston Villa (H) | ⭐⭐ |
What happens if Arsenal and Man City have the same points AND same goal difference?
If Arsenal and Man City have the same points and goal difference (Arsenal currently leads the most important of those tallies, points), then the winner of the Premier League title would be decided by total goals scored.
As it stands, Man City has scored more goals (75) than Arsenal (69). The reason why Arsenal's goal difference is better, therefore, is the Gunners have conceded fewer goals (26) than Man City (32).
Here's how the Premier League title is decided, in order:
1. Points
2. Goal difference
3. Goals scored
4. Head-to-head points collected
5. Most away goals in head-to-head matches
Predicted final Premier League table
Team | Played | Points |
|---|---|---|
1. Arsenal | 38 | 85 |
2. Man City | 38 | 81 |
We have Arsenal down to win the Premier League. Better yet, it won't go down to the final day. With Man City balancing an FA Cup final, Arsenal could wrap up the Premier League title after Man City faces Bournemouth, our predicted match for the challengers to drop points.
Our predicted final Premier League table will update after each game that either team faces.
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