There are just three Premier League matches remaining, at least for Arsenal. They have spent the majority of the season at the top of the Premier League table, but their title isn't secured yet.
With three games remaining (at least for Arsenal, Man City have four), Arsenal maintain a five-point gap at the top of the table.
This tracker provides an updated big-picture look at Arsenal's required points tally to lift the Premier League title this summer, a side-by-side comparison of Arsenal's and Man City's run-ins and a predicted final table.
Arsenal’s route to winning the Premier League
Arsenal is already en route to winning the Premier League this season. The fact of the matter is, it's in their hands. If Arsenal win their three remaining Premier League fixtures, there is no tangible way Man City could match their points tally.
Failing that, Arsenal still stand a pretty good chance of winning the Premier League, even if they drop two points. This would mean they win two games and draw one game. In this instance, though, goal difference could become a factor. If Man City wins all their remaining games, and Arsenal win two but draw one, they will be level on points, and goal difference will become the next decider.
The Gunners still have to face West Ham away, Burnley at home and Crystal Palace away.
Date | Fixture | Difficulty (out of 5) |
|---|---|---|
10 May | West Ham (A) | ⭐⭐ |
18 May | Burnley (H) | ⭐ |
24 May | Crystal Palace (A) | ⭐⭐ |
Current Premier League standings and points gap
There are only two teams still capable of winning the Premier League trophy - Arsenal and Man City. This means that, no matter what happens, the current champions, Liverpool, will give up their trophy.
As it stands, Arsenal hold a five-point gap over Man City, but the leaders have played one game more. If Man City win their game-in-hand, the point gap will be two in favour of Arsenal, if Man City draw, the point gap will be four, and if Man City lose, the point gap will be five.
Arsenal have the upper hand as it stands, but goal difference could still come into play depending on how the results go. In the goal-difference department, Arsenal maintain a four-goal advantage over Man City, having played one game more.
Team | Played | Points | Goal difference | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1. Arsenal | 35 | 76 | 41 | 67:26 |
2. Man City | 34 | 71 | 37 | 69:32 |
Arsenal’s remaining fixtures analysed
On paper, the toughest game is the final game of the season. That would be against Crystal Palace away from home. However, as we all know, the final games of the season can rarely be analysed 'on paper.'
Taking context into consideration, the toughest game is actually Arsenal's next game, against West Ham. West Ham are in a relegation battle, so they have the most to fight for out of the remaining three opponents.
Arsenal have two away games remaining, but due to their split, every remaining game will be played in London. That, thankfully, saves some travelling time before their trip to Budapest, Hungary, for the Champions League final.
- West Ham vs Arsenal. West Ham are in a relegation battle, which is important context. Otherwise, this is a game Arsenal should win.
- Arsenal vs Burnley. Under normal circumstances, this is a routine win. Burnley are already relegated.
- Crystal Palace vs Arsenal. If Man City win their games, this is the game where Arsenal could win the league. Context considered, it is around the same difficulty as facing West Ham.
Man City's remaining schedule
Man City not only face more games than Arsenal, but they have a tougher run of games, too.
Man City's toughest game of the remaining ones is the final day of the season against Aston Villa. Unai Emery's men have been tough to beat, which Arsenal fans know all too well.
Man City also face Brentford at home and Bournemouth away. Both teams have been impressive this season, and stand a chance of competing in Europe.
Arsenal has a majority of away trips, whereas Man City play at home mostly. That said, an important piece of context is that Man City's remaining final (FA Cup) is wedged in between this Premier League title race, whereas Arsenal's (Champions League) is after the Premier League season is concluded.
Date | Fixture | Difficulty (out of 5) |
|---|---|---|
9 May | Brentford (H) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
13 May | Crystal Palace (H) | ⭐ |
19 May | Bournemouth (A) | ⭐⭐⭐ |
24 May | Aston Villa (H) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Predicted final Premier League table
Team | Played | Points |
|---|---|---|
1. Arsenal | 38 | 85 |
2. Man City | 38 | 81 |
We have Arsenal down to win the Premier League. Better yet, it won't go down to the final day. With Man City balancing an FA Cup final, Arsenal could wrap up the Premier League title by the time Man City faces Bournemouth, our predicted match for the challengers to drop points.
Our predicted final Premier League table will update after each game that either team faces.
